Mead Over, also at CGD, writes about PEPFAR's new scientific advisory board: "PEPFAR's overriding objective is "[T]ransition from emergency response to sustainable country-led programs." Despite good intentions, AIDS programs cannot be "sustainable" in poor or even in middle-income countries unless they meet one or both of two criteria: new infections should be rare and high quality AIDS treatment should be much less costly than it is now. PEPFAR seems to realize that it does not currently know how to do this. They hope to gather evidence in order to have a better idea, and our job on the committee is to advise PEPFAR how best to proceed in gathering and analyzing this new information."
Obama thinks US intelligence agencies should have done more to predict recent events in Tunisia and Egypt. Maybe Obama should read some more Timur Kuran (PDF)?